In News
- Recently, the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Reserve Bank of India hiked the policy repo rate by 50 basis points to 5.4 per cent, a three-year high owing to inflation concern.
What is the Dovish and Hawkish View of Monetary Policy?
- Dovish View of Monetary Policy
- Doves support the idea of low-interest rates since they believe that it encourages economic growth.
- They also argue that an increase in economic growth leads to a high rate of borrowing among the consumers, which encourages spending.
- Hawkish View of Monetary Policy
- A Hawk or an inflation Hawk is a financial advisor or policymaker who believes that monetary policies should maintain high-interest rates to curb inflation.
- They are primarily interested in high-interest rates as they relate to Fiscal policy.
- Hawks are generally not concerned with economic growth but support an economy operating at a level below its full-employment equilibrium.
Major decisions taken by the Monetary Policy Committee
- The RBI retained its inflation and GDP growth projections for the current fiscal year ending in March 2023 at 6.7% and 7.2%.
- The standing deposit facility (SDF) rate is adjusted to 5.15%; and the marginal standing facility (MSF) rate and the Bank Rate to 5.65%.
- Home Loans
- The home loan rates of some major lenders like State Bank of India will cross 8 per cent with this repo rate hike.
- The home loan rate linked to the external benchmark or the repo rate is 7.55 per cent for many lenders now.
- Yield of the government bond
- The yield of the 10-year government bond, which fell 17 basis points, ended 14 basis points higher to close at 7.30 per cent.
- CPI inflation
- The current 7 percent CPI inflation is unacceptable and unsustainable and there is a need to bring it back to 4 per cent, which is the target for the MPC.
- Growth
- It pointed towards improvement in urban demand while there were mixed signals on the rural side.
- Manufacturing sector
- Capacity utilisation in the manufacturing sector is now above its long-run average, signalling the need for fresh investment activity in additional capacity creation.
- Incremental credit-deposit ratio
- The incremental credit-deposit ratio has risen from 77.2 percent to 246.8 percent.
- The incremental CD ratio is the portion of deposits that the banks use to extend loans. The ratio is an indication of the bank’s dependence on borrowed funds to fund its credit growth.
- The incremental credit-deposit ratio has risen from 77.2 percent to 246.8 percent.
Future Prospects
- RBI would have wanted to stay on course to overcome the prevailing challenges.
- RBI’s actions and efforts are to largely surmount the global headwinds that are driving inflation and to ensure inflation remains within target going forward.
- The MPC’s actions are in line with the current global inflation scenario and has leaned in favour of anchoring inflationary expectations to work out solutions to free the growth potential of the economy,
- its future actions would depend upon the evolving situation.
Monetary Policy Committee (MPC)
Instruments of Monetary Policy
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Source:BS
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