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Recently ,The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) increased the policy repo rate by 50 basis points (bps) to 5.9% making loans expensive.
- This is RBI MPC’s fourth consecutive rate hike in this financial year.
Major Points
- The MPC lowered the growth projection of FY23 from 7.2% to 7%.
- It retained the Consumer Price Index (CPI)-based inflation projection at 6.7 per cent for 2022-23
- It is only expected to fall below 6 per cent to 5.8 per cent in the last quarter of FY23.
Image Courtesy:IE
Rationale behind the decision
- The enduring effects of the pandemic and the geo-political conflict are manifesting in demand-supply mismatches of goods and services.
- Central banks are charting new territory with aggressive rate hikes, even if it entails sacrificing growth in the near-term.
- Therefore ,The MPC was of the view that persistence of high inflation necessitates further calibrated withdrawal of monetary accommodation to restrain broadening of price pressures, anchor inflation expectations and contain the second-round effects.
- This action will support medium-term growth prospects.
- The MPC’s decisions are based on the twin objective, with primacy given to price stability driven by the necessity to keep growth in mind
Experts Opinion
- The overall indicators and today’s policy action indicates that India is better placed to handle future economic challenges, while the world is on verge of a possible recession
- On the international front, RBI’s assurance to continue its judicious intervention to ensure stability in the foreign exchange market is a welcome sign to curb uncertainties and support long-term revival and resilience of the economy,
What’s Next?
- The Indian economy continues to be resilient and there is macroeconomic stability.
- The country has withstood the shocks from COVID-19 and the conflict in Ukraine. Our journey over the last two and half years, our steely resolve in dealing with the various challenges gives us the confidence to deal with the new storm that we are confronted with
- RBI will continue to withdraw its accommodative stance to ensure that inflation remains within the target going forward while supporting growth.
Image Courtesy :ET
Monetary Policy Committee (MPC)
Instruments of Monetary Policy
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Source:TH
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