The TRUMP DOCTRINE: Gain or Loss for India?

Context:
- Donald Trump was sworn in as the 47th president of the United States on January 20, 2025 ushering in a new term with sweeping promises to reshape the nation.
1.
What is the America First Policy?

- US President Donald Trump has "America First" as his priorities and this includes making America safe again, making the country affordable, achieving energy dominance, draining the swamp and bringing back American values
- America First refers to a populist political theory in the United States that emphasizes the fundamental notion of "putting America first", which generally involves disregarding global affairs and focusing solely on domestic policy in the United States.
- This generally denotes policies of non-interventionism, American nationalism, and protectionist trade policy.
- The term was coined by President Woodrow Wilson in his 1916 campaign that pledged to keep America neutral in World War I.
- Decades later, Donald Trump used the slogan in his 2016 presidential campaign and presidency (2017–2021), emphasizing the U.S.'s withdrawal from international treaties and organizations in the administration's foreign policy.
- In 2017, the administration proposed a federal budget for 2018 with both "Make America Great Again" and "America First" in its title, with the latter referencing its increases to military, homeland security, and veteran spending, cuts to spending that goes towards foreign countries, and 10-year objective of achieving a balanced budget
2.
Enlist the key policies of Trump 2.0?
- Donald Trump has returned to the White House, having promised action on issues including immigration, the economy and the war in Ukraine.
- He looks likely to enjoy plenty of support for his political agenda in Congress after his Republican Party regained control of the Senate.
Key policies | Analysis |
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Deport undocumented migrants |
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Moves on economy, tax and tariffs |
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Cut climate regulations |
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No abortion ban |
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Pardon some Jan 6 rioters |
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3.
What do Americans expect From the Trump 2.0?
- Gallup conducted a survey on what Americans think the Trump administration will accomplish over the next four years.
- It found that nearly seven in ten respondents (68 percent) said that the incoming administration will control immigration.


4.
What does the U.S. import from Mexico, Canada and China?
- Tariffs on the U.S.' neighbors would mean Trump would end the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement on free trade that his administration negotiated and that he himself signed in 2018 as a successor to the North American Free Trade Agreement, NAFTA for short.

5.
How does Trump 2.0 impact Global Politics?
- Donald Trump has been sworn in as the 47th President of the United States.
- His second term’s anticipated policies are already impacting global diplomacy and economic dynamics.
Dimensions | Analysis |
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Israel-Hamas war |
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Ukraine-Russia conflict |
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Canada |
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China |
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Iran |
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6.
Enlist some orders signed by Trump after becoming president?
- In a dramatic inauguration, Donald Trump took immediate action on Day 1, withdrawing from international accords like the WHO and Paris Climate Agreement, while granting pardons to January 6 rioters.
Orders | Analysis |
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US Leaving World Health Organization |
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January 6 rioters |
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Paris Climate Accord |
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Cuba |
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No More Birthright Citizenship |
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Delay in Tik Tok Ban |
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US to Recognize Only Two Genders |
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7.
What does Trump 2.0 mean for India-U.S. relations?
- Trump’s first term was marked by deepening US-India relations, driven in part by his rapport with Prime Minister Narendra Modi. High-profile events like the 2019 'Howdy Modi' rally in Houston and the 2020 'Namaste Trump' event in Ahmedabad showcased a mutual commitment to stronger ties.
- Given the close ties between the US and Indian economies, any policy changes in the US could significantly affect diplomatic ties, India's trade flow, global alliances, and capital flows.
Aspects | Analysis |
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Strategic Partnership |
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Bilateral Trade |
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Personal Bond: From 'Howdy, Modi' to 'Namaste Trump |
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Immigration Policy |
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Defence ties |
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The Quad |
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Energy |
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Climate change |
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H1-B Visa |
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Exit from WHO |
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Indian Share market |
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8.
Why is the relationship between PM Modi and Donald Trump so strong?

Aspects | Analysis |
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Shared strategic interests |
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Personal rapport and public displays of friendship |
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Economic and trade engagement |
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Health initiatives |
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9.
What Trump 2.0 could mean for Indian Americans?

- As Donald Trump prepares to return to the White House, the 4.5 million-strong Indian-American community in the US finds itself at a pivotal crossroads.
- With a reputation for contributing significantly to the economy, technology, medicine, and education, Indian Americans are both keen observers and active participants in the political shifts that could shape their future.
Issues | Analysis |
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Emerging shifts in diaspora politics |
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Immigration Policies |
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Opportunities and risks for entrepreneurs |
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Community dynamics in a polarised US |
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10.
What are the views of people globally about Trump 2.0?


11.
What does Trump 2.0 mean for science?

- As Donald Trump prepares for his second term as president of the United States, two starkly different outlooks are emerging among scientists and engineers.
- Some technology companies, space enthusiasts, artificial intelligence (AI) developers and others expect favourable policies for their fields in the coming years, and are hugely excited about the possibilities for exploration and innovation.
- Yet, for countless other scientists and academics including those who work on climate, Earth sciences and biomedicine there is concern that important research will be cut, deprioritized or vilified.
- During his first stint in the White House, in 2017–21, Trump promoted unproven treatments for COVID-19 and denied the risks of climate change. He also undermined scientists at his own agencies and repeatedly sought to slash funding for science, although Congress shielded federal agencies such as the National Institutes of Health (NIH), National Science Foundation (NSF) and the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) from the most drastic cuts.
Fields of Science | Analysis |
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AI, Quantum science and technology |
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Space exploration |
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Climate Change |
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12.
What does Trump 2.0 mean for the United Nations?

- Donald Trump has returned as president of the United States.
- Unlike his previous term, when there was considerable uncertainty about his views and policies toward the United Nations, there is now a record of past practice to predict future policy.
- When people recall President Trump‟s previous interactions with the UN, they characterize it as a contentious relationship.
- His first budget proposal included large funding cuts for the UN and international organizations – reductions that Congress largely rebuffed.


- In late 2017, the White House announced Washington’s intent to withdraw from the United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO), citing an anti-Israel bias.
- The Trump administration suspended all funding for the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA), calling the organization “irredeemably flawed.”
- Trump opined that The United Nations is an underperformer, but it has huge potential.
- While many saw President Trump’s approach calling for reform or withdrawal from contentious organizations as a dramatic break in U.S. policy, it in fact followed precedent previously established by both Democratic and Republican administrations.
- The main difference between President Trump and his predecessors is his appetite for confrontation.
- While previous U.S. administrations were willing to challenge the UN and other international organizations and use American financial and diplomatic clout to press for change, they focused on one or two organizations or issues at a time.
13.
What are Donald Trump’s views on the Panama Canal?
- US President Donald Trump once again showed his determination to take control of the Panama Canal in his presidency as he vowed the same in his inaugural speech on January 20.
- Despite the constant clarification by the Panama government that there is no Chinese interference in its operation, Trump claimed that "China is operating the Panama Canal".



What is the U.S.-Panama treaty? |
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Why did the United States give away the Panama Canal? |
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Who owns the Panama Canal? |
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Why does Trump want the Panama Canal back? |
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What can the US do to reclaim the Panama Canal? |
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What is the future of the Panama Canal? |
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14.
What is Donald Trump’s view on Greenland?
- U.S. President Donald Trump said the United States needs to control Greenland to ensure international security.
- Trump made the comments while signing executive orders in the Oval Office of the White House on the first day of his second term as president.
- Trump has expressed interest in making Greenland, an autonomous territory of Denmark, a part of the U.S. since his reelection in November.

What is Greenland? |
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Why does Trump want Greenland? |
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Who owns Greenland and could Trump buy it? |
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What if Greenland becomes independent? |
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What does Greenland want? |
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What does Denmark say? |
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What is the relevance of the topic for UPSC CSE?
For Prelims: India-US Relations, LEMOA, COMCASA, BECA, Silicon Valley, International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Exercise Malabar, NISAR mission, NASA's Deep Space Network, Chandrayaan-3, Digital services tax, CAATSA, USIndia initiative on Critical and Emerging Technology.
For Mains: Significance of the United States for India, Key Issues in India-US Relations.
Some Previous Years Prelims Questions
Q1. What is “Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD)”, sometimes seen in the news? (2018)
(a) An Israeli radar system
(b) India‟s indigenous anti-missile programme
(c) An American anti-missile system
(d) A defence collaboration between Japan and South Korea
Some Previous Years Mains Questions
Q1. 'What introduces friction into the ties between India and the United States is that Washington is still unable to find for India a position in its global strategy, which would satisfy India‟s National self-esteem and ambitions'. Explain with suitable examples. [2019]
Some Questions from This Year and Previous Years Interview Transcripts
Board Sheel Vardhan Singh sir:
- You are interested in Geopolitics.
- I am a magician.
- I turn you into President Zelenskyy and those sitting beside you are Mr. Trump and Mr. Putin.
- How would you negotiate?
Board B.B. Swain sir:
- Why does Trump want Greenland?
- Which resources are found there?
- Why so much chaos in geopolitics?
Board Suman Sharma mam:
- Tell me something about global world order
- Differentiate early World order vs present World order?
- Tell me something about Trump's impact on World order?
Board Lt general Raj shukla sir:
- Many millionaires are coming in the Trump administration?
- Is it good ?
Board Lt general Raj shukla sir:
- How is Trump good for Indian interests?
- Wouldn't such sanctions affect Indian exports?
Some Questions for QUIZ
Q1. Consider the following Countries:
1. United Nations
2. India
3. Israel
4. Saudi Arabia
5. Jordan
How many of the above countries are part of the IMEC?
(a) Only two
(b) Only three
(c) Only four
(d) All five
Some Questions for POLL
Q1. Do you think that under the Trump regime India-US relations will flourish?
(a) YES
(b) NO
(c) Can’t say
Q2. Will Trump economic policies impact India adversely?
(a) YES
(b) NO
(c) Can’t say